Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 59.350045 66.551143 74.001375 82.263591 91.148305 100.394298 110.722493
2025-03-30 47.568356 57.992851 69.381907 82.654399 97.602349 113.825743 132.672317
2025-04-06 41.121506 53.175945 66.849936 83.318834 102.425273 123.711037 149.031421
2025-04-13 34.666306 47.458426 62.496859 81.168343 103.416088 128.777542 159.568502
2025-04-20 31.927141 45.769433 62.511522 83.794443 109.672758 139.682051 176.665139
2025-04-27 29.111251 43.644229 61.707169 85.183046 114.265439 148.517757 191.299096
2025-05-04 26.436371 41.413852 60.526570 85.893447 117.869600 156.070853 204.368127
2025-05-11 25.131456 40.849622 61.351160 89.030350 124.411524 167.161084 221.726869
2025-05-18 23.214850 39.266742 60.697645 90.154553 128.355221 175.047903 235.225738
2025-05-25 20.447470 36.245717 57.917482 88.320204 128.391633 178.003352 242.626694
2025-06-01 18.293591 33.919974 55.912934 87.356751 129.418895 182.102224 251.382449
2025-06-08 16.678296 32.255619 54.705350 87.359160 131.622886 187.635429 261.911331
2025-06-15 15.959943 31.951750 55.445946 90.091421 137.548690 198.086001 278.884037
2025-06-22 14.711171 30.708397 54.756384 90.796208 140.767936 205.105299 291.615465
2025-06-29 13.572136 29.535383 54.080502 91.445275 143.860754 211.938894 304.121438
2025-07-06 11.817181 27.159217 51.447578 89.162315 142.845194 213.331523 309.599477
2025-07-13 11.417536 27.092682 52.330065 91.962708 148.839107 223.972084 327.075917
2025-07-20 10.752399 26.491468 52.333483 93.444681 152.995354 232.201696 341.479414
2025-07-27 9.986764 25.635013 51.876650 94.202278 156.116432 239.057967 354.128250
2025-08-03 9.798773 25.847128 53.136227 97.546683 162.922340 250.903362 373.399554
2025-08-10 9.206084 25.226183 52.995876 98.744686 166.670691 258.651401 387.329422
2025-08-17 8.090575 23.457631 50.854266 96.789763 165.830657 260.141797 392.967870
2025-08-24 7.236603 22.123449 49.360656 95.762671 166.270928 263.336527 400.852998